最困难时期还有多远

How far is the most difficult time?

"船舶市场还远远没有见底,最困难的时候还没有到来。"谈及造船市场的走向,中国船舶工业行业协会会长张广钦这样告诉记者。中国造船工程学会理事长黄平涛认为:"造船市场至少十年之内不会恢复到20032008年的水平。长期的黄金期不再。"与上述观点相比,中国船舶工业经济研究中心研究员朱汝敬的观点则更为悲观。他认为,全球造船市场在进一步恶化,有可能演化成百年不遇的船市大萧条,短则三年,有可能五年甚至更长,要做好过几年苦日子的准备。张广钦表示,市场的谷底在哪里,这个底是个什么样的状态?都有待于形势的发展,还需要观察一段时间,才会有初步的或者说也许基本符合事实的判断。

Chairman of CSNAME HUANG Pingtao considers that it will be difficult for shipbuilding market to rebound to the level of 2003 - 2008 within at least ten years. The long golden period will no longer exist. Mr. ZHU Rujing, researcher of CCSCINFO thinks that, global shipbuilding market is further deteriorating, which might lead to the Great Depression that is unlikely to happen once in a century in the shipbuilding sector. The recession may last three years or five or even longer.