摘要
利用系统仿真的思想,对项目中的工序进行建模,通过计算得到工期的估计。根据Monte Carlo仿真原理,基于Java多线程技术,利用网格计算集群对一个算例进行并行仿真。研究结果以及时间统计表明,该方法不仅可以计算出工期进度概率分布,明确关键路径,而且可以缩短仿真时间,提高效率。
The theory of system simulation is used to calculate an estimation of project's completion period, based on which the project procedures are modeled. The key approach is to use Monte Carlo simulation. With the power of Java multithreading technique, a parallel grid calculation is applied to simulate an example and optimize it. Computing result and time record show that, not only this approach can work out the project schedule estimation with distribution and a certain critical path, but also shorten the simulation time and increase the efficiency.
出处
《航空制造技术》
2009年第9期84-87,共4页
Aeronautical Manufacturing Technology
基金
国家自然科学基金课题(70671007)
教育部博士点基金课题(200800060005)资助