浙江省农村劳动力结构调整和城市化进程的实证分析

An Emprirical Study on Rural Labor Transfer and Urbanization of Zhejiang Province

随着浙江经济的快速发展,大量农村剩余劳动力转移,加快了浙江城市化水平的提高,与全国其他地区相比,发展较快。本文通过构建浙江农村劳动力结构调整和城市化进程模型,对农村劳动力转移的影响要素进行了量化分析。结果显示,反映农村劳动力转移空间的二、三产业占GDP比重、第三产业就业比重、非国有部门的就业比重等三个指标影响最大,反映政策因素的市场化分配资源比重和固定资产投资占GDP比重影响较大。最后提出就进一步促进农村劳动力结构调整,推进城市化进程的建议。

Accompanying economic growth, large numbers of surplus rural labourers are transferred to cities, speeding up urbanization of Zhejiang Province, whose speed is faster than other regions in China. This paper built a model of surplus rural labor force＇ s structural readjustment and the course of urbanization of Zhejiang Province. It did quantification analysis, basing on essential dements of surplus rural labor force transfer. The result indicated that there indexes reflecting surplus rural labor force transfer space are the most effective ones, they are proportion of the secondary and tertiary industry in GDP, employment proportion of tertiary industry and employment proportion of non - state - owned industries; Whereafter, two indexes reflecting policy factors are more effective ones, they are proportion of resource allocation by marketization and proportion of fixed asserts invest in GDP. Finally the paper suggested to promote surplus rural labor force transfer and urbanization of Zhejiang Province by these two ways.