国家基本建设投资对农村经济推动作用实证研究

The Impetus of Capital Infrastructure Investment for Rural Economy

为探讨国家基本建设投资对农村经济的影响,以1952-2006年历年国家基本建设投资资本存量测算和历年农村国民收入数据,利用EVIEWS 5.1软件对其进行诸如单位根检验、协整检验、Granger因果关系检验、向量自回归(VAR)模型、脉冲响应函数以及方差分解的一系列研究工作。实证结果表明,国家基本建设投资对农村经济增长的贡献较为显著,其推动作用比较明显。

To research into the internal driving force of rural economic growth, the paper selects the data about Chinese cumulative amounts of capital infrastructure investment estimation and rural gross national product （1952 -2006 ）. It uses EVIEWS 5. 1 to do a series of analytical work, such as the unit root test, co - integration test, Granger causality test, Vector auto - regression model, impulse response function and variance decomposition. The empirical result shows that capital infrastructure investment makes a notable contribution to economic growth with strong impetus.