城市水资源水环境系统多阶段灰色动态仿真模型

Grey Dynamic Simulation Model of the Urban Water Resource environment System

本文依据城市人口、经济、水资源和水环境之间的相互影响、相互制约关系，建立了城市水资源水环境系统多阶段灰色动态仿真模型，以预测不同仿真方案下城市水资源与水环境系统的变化。理论分析和实例计算表明，本文建立的模型和提出的计算方法具有较强的实用性和通用性，为解决城市水资源水环境系统规划问题提供了一条有效途径。

To predict the advances of the urban water resources and water environment system in the future,a dynamic simulation model is developed according to the relationships among population,economy,water resources and water environment.The theoretical analysis and a case study show that the model and the method are universal and practical.