中国靠什么实现了对美国出口的迅速增长——基于产品广度产品价格和产品数量的分解

What Is the Main Factors of Rapid Growth in China's Export to US?:An Analysis based on the Decomposition of Product Extensive Margin,Product Quantity and Product Price

本文利用HS编码六分位贸易数据,扩展了Hummels和Klenow(2005)的分解方法,将中国对美国出口的增长分解为产品广度增长、产品价格增长和产品数量增长。结论发现:中国对美国出口增长的70%归结为产品数量的增长;随着产品技术升级,数量增长的贡献度逐渐增加;中国的出口增长途径并不具有普遍性;中国出口的数量高于大多数国家,价格低于大多数国家,实现贸易增长模式从"以量取胜"到"以质取胜"的转变成为当务之急。

Based on the six digit trade data,using the extended Hummels&Klenow(2005)'s decomposition method,we decompose export growth of China to US into extensive margin,price margin and quantity margin.The conclusions are these:70% of export growth is due to quantity growth.With the product's technology content growing,the importance of quantity growth is growing.China's export growth pattern is not general,China's quantity of export is higher while its price is lower than most countries.Therefore,it is urgent for China's export to substitute 'quality strategy' for 'quantity strategy'.