经济一体化对不同质国家的经济增长效应分析——对美国与墨西哥的比较研究

An Analysis of Economic Integration Among Unequal Countries on economic gorwth:Comparative Study with United the States and Mexico

本文拓展了Badinger(2005)模型关于同质国家经济一体化影响经济增长的分析方法,比较了不同质国家间经济一体化通过削减关税和改变人力资本在研发部门比重共同影响经济增长的情况。通过对美国和墨西哥1986～2007年间相关时间序列数据的实证检验,发现美墨两国间的经济一体化对两国的经济增长效应具有不同的特点:①虽然经济一体化对美墨两国都具有长、短期的增长正效应,但短期水平效应要比长期增长效应更显著;②经济一体化对美墨两国的增长效应是不对称的,对墨西哥的总效应要比对美国的大;③经济一体化对墨西哥的增长效应是通过技术和投资两条路径传导的,且前者的效应比后者更为显著,而对美国增长效应的传导仅局限于投资这一条路径。

This paper extends Badinger's analysis of the growth effects of economic integration among equal countries,and compares the effects of economic integration among unequal countries on economic growth through cutting tariff barrier and changing the share of human capital in R&D sector.We conduct the empirical test by using USA and Mexico's data from 1986 to 2007,and find that the economic integration between USA and Mexico has different growth effects on both countries.First,though the economic integration has both long-term and short-term growth effects on the two counties,the later effects are greater than the former ones.Second,the growth effects of economic integration on USA and Mexico are unbalanced.The total effects on Mexico are much greater.Finally,the growth effects on Mexico are both investment-led and technology-led while the former ones are greater.The effects on USA are only investment-led.