中国城镇居民收入和消费的灰色预测

Grey prediction for China's urban resident income and consumption

根据2000—2007年中国城镇居民家庭人均可支配收入和人均生活消费数据,运用灰色预测模型对2008—2015年中国城镇居民的可支配收入和生活消费进行预测;结果表明,模型精度高,预测结果可信度强。预测结果表明,城镇居民整体可支配收入和消费水平呈现同方向的增长,但后者占前者的比例呈现小幅下降的趋势。

According to China＇s urban resident family per capita disposable income and per capita living consumption data during 2000-2007, by using grey prediction model to predict China＇s urban resident disposable income and living consumption during 2008-2015, the results show that models have higher accuracy and predicted results are believable. The results indicate that urban resident total disposable income and consumption level are growing in the same direction but proportion of the latter shows decreasing trends.