论投资品对经济危机的诱发与加剧作用

On the Role of Investment Goods to Induce and Worsen the Economic Crisis

投资品无均衡价格定律派生出投资品价格"涨过头、跌过头"的特性。这一特性不仅可以诱发金融危机、房地产危机等局部经济危机,而且可以诱发和加剧整体经济危机。投资品双重性与投资者双重性结合的结果是投资活动的恶性功能在种类上和程度上都强于良性功能,而且其恶性功能伴随着投资品的规模和范围扩张而蔓延。为了减轻下一轮经济危机的剧烈程度,政府应当控制投资品的规模,对投资品的范围渗透实施分类准入与监管,并调整投资品的税收政策。

The common inherent inducement of contemporary real estate crisis, financial crisis and economic crisis is the law that there is no equilibrium price in investment goods, in other words, price of investment goods always excessively increases and excessively decreases. The combination of duality of investors and duality of investment goods not only strengthen the negative effects of investment goods but also often expand types and turnover of investment goods and exacerbate the gravity of crisis. To mitigate the crisis, the government should control the scale of the investment goods sector, adopt three different types of regulatory measures according to whether they are necessary to daily life and production, and adjust the income tax policy of investment goods.