广东省税收收入与经济增长的实证研究

Guangdong tax income and economy growth's demonstrative research

文章以研究区域间税收收入与经济增长的关系为目的,采用时间序列的协整分析方法,对广东省的税收收入与经济增长进行分析。结果发现,两者间存在着唯一的、长期的均衡关系;但是,在短期内两者仍无法消除相互波动的影响;并且,在Granger因果关系检验中,在不同的滞后期内,两者呈现出不同的因果关系。

This paper aims at studying on the rela-tionship between tax and economic growth,taking Guangdong for example,and analyzing the tax and economic growth with a cointegrate analysis on time series data.The consequence indicates that：it can be found that there were a longterm dynamic equilibrium relation and a shortterm error correction mechanism among tax and economic growth of Guangdong province in these years.