国家级水利风景区分布及影响因素研究——基于空间自相关和固定效应模型的实证

On the Influential Factors and Spatial Distribution of National Water Parks' in China——Analysis based on the Spatial-Dependent Model and the Fix-effects Model

近年来,各地开始摸索建设和开发水利风景区,虽然微观层面的个别水利风景区建设经验的文献较丰富,但宏观层面的水利风景区分布的文献却较少。为了形成布局合理的水利风景区网络,有必要对其现状及影响因素进行研究。为此,以国家级水利风景区为研究对象,建立国家级水利风景区内外影响因素模型,运用空间自相关和固定效应模型进行实证分析,结果发现:(1)国家级水利风景区空间分布不均衡,但全局莫朗值(Global Moran’sⅠ)不显著,空间自相关不显著。(2)水资源总量、旅游人次都与国家级水利风景区负相关;其它类型的国家级景区、面积与国家级水利风景区正相关。(3)固定截距差异大,说明不同地区存在初始优势差异。在水资源等有地区优势但水利风景区建设落后的省份,需增强主观能动性,积极将资源优势转化成环境和经济优势。

In the passed two decades, water parks are often developed fast. There appears many works on literature on single water park. But papers viewed them as a whole are little. In order to make the water parks distribute reasonably, it is necessarily to analyze the present situation. So the national water park is viewed as research object. The model of national water park is made. Firstly, Global Morarl＇ s I is used to the space - related verification. Secondly, the variable intercept fixed effect model is used to vivify the external influences, which are found that the water resources, tourism and the number of Nation Parks have the negative correlation with national water parks. The results show that nation water parks is behind their advantage on water resources and tourism development. They also show that other nation park and area have the positive correlation with national water parks. It is found that the fixed intercepts are different, which shows that different regions have different initial advantage. Finally, some advice is proposed.