冰湖溃决评价体系研究进展

Progress in glacier lake outburst assessment system

受全球气候变暖及人类活动的影响,冰川环境正在发生着巨大的变化,冰湖溃决灾害已成为当前山区经济可持续发展中的突出问题。为能综合地对冰湖溃决进行科学的评价,文章回顾了国内外冰湖溃决评价体系的研究现状,系统总结了国内外现有冰湖溃决评价方法及研究的主要内容,对各评价方法的优缺点进行了讨论,并对冰湖溃决评价的未来研究方向做了探讨,可为冰湖溃决评价的系统方法研究提供参考。

The accelerated change of the glacial environment due to the global wanning and human activity is significant. Glacier lakes outburst has become a serious disaster in mountainous areas. In order to understand the glacier lake outburst and find a reasonable assessment way for the glacier lake outburst assessment, this article summarizes these main methods for glacier lake outburst assessment developed by the researchers from all over the world, explants some problems existing in eurrent studies and analyzes the advantages and disadvantages of each methods. Finally, some new ways in the future research are discussed, which gives some information and suggestions for the future study.