我国对外直接投资的贸易效应实证研究

An Empirical Study on Our Country Outward Foreign Direct Investment Trade Effect

利用1982-2007年的数据,对我国对外直接投资与进出口关系进行实证研究的结果表明,我国对外直接投资与进出口是互补的,即对外直接投资为出口创造型和进口创造型,故要采取各种切实的政策措施来鼓励对外直接投资,但也不能过分夸大对外直接投资的作用。在积极"走出去"开拓国际市场和利用国外资源的同时,要统筹考虑对外直接投资的规模、结构、区位及相应的政策。

This article based on domestic scholar about our overseas direct investment （OFDI） the trade effect research, according to the modern econometrics method, uses 1982-2007 year annual data, conducts the empirical study on OFDI and the export and the import relations, finally discovers that OFDI and the export and the import are supplementary, namely OFDI is the export creation and the import creation, it is necessary to take effective policy to encourage foreign direct investment, but we the role of foreign direct investment can not be exaggerated. Active in the “going out” to open up international markets and the use of foreign resources at the same time, we should consider the scale of foreign direct investment, structure, location and the corresponding policies.