谈高等教育对经济增长的贡献在高校扩招前后的变化

The Comparison of Higher Education's Contribution to Economic Growth Before and After the College Enrollment Expansion

本文利用菲德模型和Panel-data数据求得我国1997-2005年间全国及各省级行政区高等教育对经济增长的贡献率。利用回归结果,得出如下结论:与扩招前相比,我国高等教育对经济增长的贡献率虽然显著上升,但绝对值呈不断下降趋势。针对扩招后贡献率变化的特点,在应对此次经济危机时,政府应继续加大对高等教育投入的力度并改善投入结构的合理性,以促进其稳定发展。

Feder Model and Panel-data are used to get the higher education contribution rate to economic growth of China and its＇ provinces from 1997 to 2005. The conclusion is that although the contribution rate is significantly higher compared with the rate before College Enrollment Expansion, according to the regression result, the absolute amount is in decreasing trend. Based on the fluctuating characteristic of the contribution rate, the government should increase fiscal investment and improve the investment structure to promote the development of higher education steadily to ensure a stable development.