对外贸易地域结构与经济增长关系研究——以福建省为例

A Study on the Relations between Regional Structure of Foreign Trade and Economic Growth——Taking Fujian as Instance

一、引言 改革开放以来，福建省对外贸易迅猛发展，成为全国领先的外贸大省。截至2007年年底，福建省累计实现进出口总额达5018．16亿美元（居全国第七位），其中出口总额2929．07亿美元，进口总额2089．09亿美元。随着外贸的稳定发展，其对福建经济的支撑带动作用不断凸显。2007年全省进出口总值相当于地区生产总值的61．25％，出口总值相当于地区生产总值的53．67％。“以外贸为增长引擎”的战略在福建省经济发展中得到充分地贯彻和实施。

Through the Co-integration Test and the establishment of Error Correction Model, this paper analyzed the intrinsic relations between Fujian＇s economic growth and its import and export trade with Japanese, American, German, Hong Kong and Taiwan separately. The results indicated that there existed obvious difference in the contribution to economic growth with the five countries （area）. In the long run, the export trade with Taiwan had the largest contribution rate to Fujian＇s economic growth, and the import to Japan had the largest contribution rate. Fujian should focus on the expansion of its import and export trade with Taiwan in the future.