东南亚华侨华人数量的新估算

A New Estimation of the Ethnic Chinese Population in Southeast Asia

近20年来,对东南亚华侨华人数量的估算相距甚大,导致对世界华侨华人数量估算的分歧。根据历史统计数据,参照人口自然增长率和机械增长率的因素,并充分考虑新移民对东南亚华侨华人数量的影响,可以估算,东南亚华人华侨总数约3348.6万,约占东南亚总人口的6%,约占全球4543万华侨华人的73.5%。其中,20世纪80年代以后进入东南亚的中国移民及其眷属至少在250万以上。

In the last twenty years the different estimations of the ethnic Chinese in Southeast Asia have resulted in the wide divergence in the numbers of the ethnic Chinese in the world. This paper tried to estimate the ethnic Chinese population in Southeast Asia by re-examining the historical population data and referring to the natural increase of population and net migration. The new estimation of the ethnic Chinese population in Southeast Asia is 33. 486 millions, accounting for 6% of population in Sohteast Asia and 73.5 % of the ethnic Chinese in the world.