近三十年来中国历史气候研究方法的进展——以文献资料为中心

The Progress of Research methods in Chinese Historical Climate in the Past 30 Years:Focusing on the Use of Historical Documents

过去30年里,中国历史气候的研究取得了世所瞩目的成就。这一研究领域中每次重要的进展,都伴随着资料的开拓和方法的创新。有鉴于此,本文主要对近三十年来历史气候研究中文献资料的收集整理、资料中存在问题的甄别和处理,温度序列、干湿序列的重建及其它相关历史气候研究领域中研究方法的进展做了回顾总结。指出研究方法的进步主要体现在更有效地提取和利用历史文献中的有效信息,尽量减少重建过程和结果的不确定性。而一定的方法总是适用于一定的资料。并认为新资料的继续开拓和集成方法的发展完善将进一步推动研究的进步。

In the past 30 years , the research methods of Chinese historical climate have been made great progress, which go along with the exploit of new materials. As one of the most important proxies, the records about climate in the historical documents have been collected, distinguished and used by the scholars to reconstructed the climate events such as temperature series, changes of precipitation and so on. This paper sums up the research methods of these works in these 30 years and point out. It helps the research methods forward that how can get more useful data from the historical documents more efficiently to reduce the uncreditability in the process and conclusion. Meanwhile, certain kinds of methods just can be applied in certain forms of materials. New data should be exploited and methods of integrative research should be developed to push the research forwards more.