居民消费、国际贸易与广东经济增长

Analysis of Resident Consumption, International Trade and Guangdong's Economic Growth

文章通过区分进口与出口，结合我国二元经济特征，分析了国际贸易与居民消费之间的关系，通过广东1979—2006的数据实证分析得出，进、出口变动是居民消费变动的原因，出口对居民消费、特别是农业居民消费的影响要大于进口，而对于非农业居民消费而言，进口的作用要大一些；农业居民消费对出口的影响要大于非农业居民消费，而非农业居民消费对进口的影响要大于农业居民消费。

The effect of international trade on economic growth is reflected not only in its role as a constituent of GDP but also in its interaction with resident consumption. This paper, based on the distinction between import and export and features of dual economy, analyzes the relationship between international trade and resident consumption, and concludes from the empirical study of the data from 1979 to 2006 that the change of import and export leads to the change of resident consumption, the effect of export on resident consumption, especially rural resident consumption, is greater than that of import while the effect of import on urban resident consumption is bigger than that of export; the effect of rural resident consumption on export is greater than on that of urban resident consumption while the effect of urban resident consumption on import is bigger than that of rural resident consumption.