不同来源地外资对中国技术进步影响的实证分析

An Empirical Analysis of Four Group FDI's Effect on Technological Improvement in China

首先测算出中国的技术进步指数,然后应用协整理论检验技术进步与来源地为香港、美国、日本和欧洲的4组外资的长期均衡关系,并建立误差修正模型考察4组外资对中国技术进步的短期影响,最后利用Granger因果关系检验识别4组外资对中国技术进步的影响程度。得出的结论是:4组外资在长期对中国技术进步都有积极的影响,在短期对中国技术进步的影响不显著且具有较大的波动性,其中美资对中国技术进步的影响最强。

This paper firstly calculates the technological improvement in China, tests the long run relationship between four group of FDI which are from Hongkong,America,Japan ＆ Europe and technological improvement based on co-integration theory, then analyzes the short-term relationship by creating error correction model, at last this paper compares the effect of four group of FDI on technological improvement by applying granger causality testing. The results show that four group of FDI have positive effect on technological improvement in the long run, but have little effect in the short run. The FDI from America has the strongest effect on technological improvement in four group of FDI.