中日经贸关系的不对称性变化:基于数据的分析

The Asymmetrical Change of China-Japan's Trade Relation:A Data-Based Analysis

中日经贸关系在两国关系的顺利发展中扮演了越来越重要的角色,但同时也必须重视中日经贸相互依赖的不确定性。通过对双边贸易、贸易结构、投资关系等三个方面的数据分析,本文认为日本曾经拥有中日经贸关系相互依赖的不对称权力已经开始发生有利于我国的变化。因此,中国正确的战略选择不是由于惧怕目前中日相互依赖的劣势而限制对日贸易,而是要不断加强与日本的经贸往来以争取未来更加有利的位置。

This paper discusses the interdependent economic and trade relation between China and Japan. By analyzing the data of mutual investment, export and import, and the change of the trade structure, the author concludes that the asymmetrical trade power which Japan once had has now become advantageous for China. Therefore, the strategy China should take is not to limit its trade with Japan for fear of the disadvantageous position in the interdependent trade relation, but to continuously strengthen its trade with Japan so as to win the more favorite place.