安徽省能源需求的组合预测

The Combinatory Forecasting on the Energy Demand of Anhui Province

根据预测理论,结合安徽省历年能耗的数据,在建立能源需求单项预测模型的基础上,建立组合预测模型,对2008～2014年的能源需求量进行预测。结果表明:组合预测模型的精度高于单项预测模型;安徽省能源需求量正以较快的速度在增长。

Based on the forecasting theory and the single forecasting model,this article sets up the combination forecasting model to project the energy demand of year 2008 to 2014,with the energy consumption data of the pasted years of Anhui province. The results show that the precision of the combination forecasting model is greater than the single ones,and the energy demand of Anhui province is increasing fast.