泛珠三角区域经济差异预警系统的建立及进路探索

EXUDES THE ZHUJIANG DELTA REGIONAL ECONOMIES DIFFERENCE EARLY WARNING SYSTEM'S ESTABLISHMENT AND THE ADMISSION PASSAGE EXPLORATION

通过对相关资料的搜集和研究,看到这样一个事实:泛珠三角的区域经济差异问题客观存在,从绝对差异的衡量指标看,区域经济差异在逐渐扩大,而相对差异则在相对缩小。以泛珠三角9省为代表样本,构建新古典增长函数模型,通过计量经济分析,比较各省经济系统内经济发展的差异,指出各省区的问题所在、泛珠三角目前的区域经济差异状况,阐述泛珠三角区域经济差异预警系统建立的必要性,最后用实证分析的方法测算出区域经济差异预警系统的上限指标,希望能够在以后的实践中,通过对各项指标的检测和比较,对控制区域经济差异的扩大起到一定的指导作用。

Through to correlation data＇s collection and the research, looks at this kind of facts： Exudes Zhujiang Delta＇s regional economies difference question objective existence, looked from the absolute difference＇s weight target, the regional economies difference is expanding gradually, but the relative different relatively is reduc- ing. Take exudes Zhujiang Delta nine provinces as to represent the sample, the construction neoclassic growth function model, through measurement economic analysis, compared with various provinces economic system in economic development difference, pointed out that various provincial capital areas the question, exudes the Zhu- jiang Delta present regional economies difference condition, elaborated that exudes the Zhujiang Delta regional e- conomies difference early warning system establishment the necessity, finally uses the empirical analysis the meth- od to survey the regional economies difference early warning system＇s upper limit target, the hope can in the later practice, through to each target examination and comparison, to controlled area economical difference expanded certain instruction function.