空中交通安全研究的综述及发展方向

General Discription on Air Traffic Safety and Its Development Direction

本文就国内外空中交通安全问题的理论研究成果作了简要的回顾，分析了影响空中交通安全的一些重要影响因素，从各种研究理论中归纳出三种典型的方法，即ＣＳ法，ＴＩＳ法，Ｐ＆Ｓ法，并就这些研究方法进行了详细的分析，指出这些方法的优缺点，提出了空中交通安全研究未来的发展方向。

This paper gives a concise review of the main theoretical achievements on the study of air traffic safety in China and abroad. Three typical methods are summarized out of many researching theories, i.e. CS method, TIS method, P&S method. We in detail analyse these researching methods, point out their merits and shortcomings and propose prospects of future research in this field.