台湾经济从“奇迹”到“困境”发展过程的重新审视——基于东亚新学说的理论视角

Rethinking the Development Process of Taiwan's Economic Development from Miracle to Dilemma:Based on the New East-Asia Theory

东亚新学说理论认为,曾经创造了"东亚奇迹"的东亚模式是有特点的创新体系,但任何时期都不存在不随时代变化而因应变革的发展模式。东亚金融危机的爆发与国际经济环境变迁有直接的联系,同时在相当程度上也是东亚发展模式调整滞后的结果。以此理论视角重新审视60年来台湾经济发展的过程可以看出,作为东亚模式创新体系基本要素的"出口导向"、"政府作用"等始终发挥着重要作用,只是在时空背景发生巨大变化时,台湾当局没有进行相应的调整与变革,甚至反向作为,才使得台湾经济发生了由"奇迹"到"困境"的演变过程。

By the New East--Asia Theory ,the East Asian Development Model that has ever created the East Asian Miracle is a kind of special innovation system, and there is no time--invariant development model at any age. The East Asian Financial Crisis is directly caused by the changes of international economic conditions, at the same time,it also resulted from the lag adjustment of the East Asian development model. From the theory as is stated above, by rethinking the development process of Taiwan Economy in recent 60 years, it can be found that being the fundamental components of the East Asian Innovation System, export orientation and government role have been important from the beginning to end. Simply because of the Taiwan authorities＇ having not made corresponding adjustments and changes, even conducting reversely, Taiwan economy resulted in changing from the Miracle to the Dilemma.