碳税与碳排放权交易对中国各行业的影响

Analysis of impacts from combining carbon taxation and carbon emission trading on different industrial sectors

碳税和碳排放权交易是目前各国主要采用的温室气体减排的政策和机制,但是无论是碳税的征收还是碳排放权交易机制的实行,对经济发展速度和结构平衡都会产生很大影响。因此制定CO2减排政策和指标时,切实考虑国情是十分必要的。本文应用可计算一般均衡模型(CGE)和Cheng F.Lee提出的计算模型研究碳税与碳排放权交易机制对中国各行业的综合影响。结果表明,合理的碳交易机制可以在一定程度上缓解间接碳税对中国能源行业的影响,并且溯往原则作为碳排放权配额分配方式更符合中国的经济现状。

The carbon tax and carbon emission trading have been frequently advocated as a cost-effective economic tool. Both carbon tax and emission trading have great effect on the economic development and balance of its configuration. Since China＇s economics has a high development rate and unbalanced configuration, it is necessary to estimate the economic situation before the emission reduction policy adopted. This study aim to analyze the impacts of carbon tax and emission trading combined on different industrial ectors in China, using Computable General Equilibrium Model and Cheng F. Lee＇s model. The results indicate that feasible emission trade system can release the energy sector＇s loss caused by carbon tax, and that the “grandfathering rule” is a more feasible approach in allocating the emission permit to each of China＇s industrial sectors.