电力消费与宏观经济的相关性研究

Analysis on Relations between Power Consumption and Macro Economy

本文对世界上16个最主要国家近16年(1991～2006)的250组统计数据进行了国际对比研究,初步探讨了电力消费与宏观经济相关关系的统计特征以及主要影响因素,在此基础上分析了我国电力消费与宏观经济相关关系的基本特点与发展周期,对于2008年以来我国电力消费弹性系数统计数据的变动情况给予了基本评价。

Pilot study presents the statistical characteristics and major influencing factors of relationship between power consumption and macro economy by the comparison among 250 groups of statistical data from 16 industrial countries in the recent 16 years （1991-2006）. Based on these, it analyzes the basic characteristics and development cycles of such relationship in China. Primary estimation is also proposed on the variances of statistical data of elasticity coefficient in China power consumption since 2008.