摘要
简要介绍灰色预测理论,以及GM(1,1)模型的建模过程。并应用灰色预测模型对南方某大型城市燃气公司管道燃气供应范围内的社会燃气事故死亡人数进行预测并实施检验,检验结果表明应用灰色预测模型预测社会燃气事故死亡人数的发展规律是可行有效的。
Grey forecast theory and the process of GM(1,1) modeling is briefly introduced. And,a grey forecast model is used for forecasting and checking the number of people killed from social gas accidents in a certain southern large-scale urban gas company's gas supply. The result shows it is effective that grey forecast model be used for forecasting the law of development of the number of people killed from social gas accidents.
出处
《城市公用事业》
2009年第3期47-48,共2页
Public Utilities
