指数平滑法在边防情报分析中的应用

The Application of the Exponential Smoothing Methods on Border-control Intelligence Analysis

介绍了指数平滑法,以某地区吸毒人数为实例,进行三次指数平滑分析,对未来的趋势做出较为准确的判断预测,并对结果进行分析和评价,为边防决策提供依据。

This paper introduces the exponential smoothing methods, takes numbers of people taking drugs in a certain border area for example to carry on the cubic exponential smoothing method, makes a comparatively accurate judgment and prediction for the trend in the near future, and finally analyzes and appraises about the predictive resuh and offers basis on making policy in the border control and management