经济周期、经济危机与危机治理理论的再研究

Research on Economic Cycle,Crisis and Theory of Control Practice

资本主义经济周期性危机的社会经济根源始终是相对需求不足,虽然引爆的具体原因不同。世界经济一体化发展的结果使危机的同步性提高,因此,高贸易依存度使中国也不可能独善。经济周期包括危机、萧条、复苏、高涨四个一般阶段,而危机阶段又包括九个段落,并与金融危机密切相关。认识危机、认识中国自身的经济特点,才能克服危机。另外,克服危机还需要马克思学派的正确理论指导,需要根据中国实践选择突破口和经济杠杆。

Periodic crisis of capitalist economy is caused by the relative lack of demand, although the specific detonation for different reasons. The result of world economic integration development improves the crisis synchronism, so the high dependence on foreign trade of China alone can not be good. Economic cycle includes four general stages such as crisis, recession, recovery, rising, while the crisis stage also includes nine paragraphs, and is closely related to the financial crisis. Recognizing the crisis and Chinese own advantages and weaknesses in order to overcome the crisis. However, overcoming the crisis has also required the correct theory of Marxian school, selecting breakthrough and economic levers are required in accordance with Chinese practice.