中国服务贸易推动经济增长效应研究——基于两阶段时间序列数据的实证分析

Study on the Effect of Service Trade for Economic Growth in China——An Empirical Analysis Based on Time Series Data of Two Stages

服务贸易的日益快速增长是我国入世后服务贸易的特点之一。本文通过引入贸易竞争指数,对入世前后两个阶段的服务贸易与经济增长关系进行实证的比较分析,以寻求对入世前后两个不同阶段的经济增长效应分析。分析结果说明入世以来我国对外服务贸易受到的冲击较大。对此,文章将发挥静态比较优势和培育动态比较优势相结合,就服务贸易对经济增长的推动作用提出了可行的政策建议。

Service trade in China has grown faster and fainter these years, which is one of the characters of international trade. This paper compares and analyses the relationships hetween service trade and growth of economy by the trade competition index during two stages before and after WTO entry in order to find the effect on the economic growth between the two different stages. The empirical analysis shows that international service trade in China has been serious impacted since WTO entry. For it, this paper combines static and dynamic comparatives advantages in order to put forward the workable policy to prompt economy by service trade.