风电场发电功率的建模和预测研究综述

Summarization of modeling and prediction of wind power generation

随着大量风电并入电网中,为了合理制定发电计划,保证电力系统稳定运行,需要对风电输出功率进行预测。首先根据建模的方法和预测模型的对象两个分类标准,归纳总结了目前风电功率预测研究的模型和方法,然后简要概括了国内外的研究现状,最后提出了风电功率预测模型的改进方向。

As more and more wind power is integrated into power grids, it is very important to predict the wind power generation in order to make a reasonable generation scheme and ensure stability of the power system. This paper summarizes some prediction methods of wind power generation according to two classified criterions, i.e. method of modeling and object of model,then generalizes its actuality, and finally advances some improvements for the future.