当前金融危机的不确定性和发展动向研究

Study on Uncertainty and Tendency of the Current Global Financial Crisis

以美国次贷危机为导火索的全球金融危机已历时两年,至目前为止,危机尚未结束。从危机的发展动向来看,此次金融危机将在短期内继续蔓延,并通过各种渠道对金融市场、世界各经济体经济增长和国际货币体系产生滞后性的负面影响。但金融危机的破坏力尚不足以引发全面衰退和混乱。随着全球金融体系系统性崩溃风险的显著降低,中国应适时调整政策,以规避和减轻全球金融危机不确定性带来的金融风险,加快经济复苏进程。

The global financial crisis originated from the United States sub-prime lending crisis have been lasting for tow years. From the perspective of the trend of crisis, it will continue to spread in the short term and affect global financial market, main entities＂ economy and international money system in negative way. With the risk leading to financial systematic bankruptcy being dropped dramatically, China should adjust the policy on stimulating recovery of economy in order to avoid and reduce the risk of uncertainty of the crisis.