江西省总量生产函数与全要素生产率估算:1952-2007

A Measurement of the Gross Production Function and TFP of Jiangxi Province:1952-2007

根据索洛余值法和C-D生产函数,建立了江西省总量生产函数模型,并利用江西省1952-2007年相关指标数据进行了测算。研究发现,江西省总量生产函数是一个规模报酬递减的生产函数,江西省经济增长模式为投资驱动型的粗放型经济增长模式,代表技术进步的全要素生产率对江西省经济增长的贡献率长期在20%左右。因此,要提高江西省的全要素生产率贡献率,必须把技术进步放在江西经济社会发展的优先战略地位。

In accordance with the Solow Complement Law and the C-D production function principle, this paper establishes a model of the gross production function of Jiangxi province to measure the related indexes and data of Jiangxi Province from 1952 to 2007. The study finds that the gross production function of Jiangxi province is a production function of descending scale and returns; the mode of economic growth of Jiangxi province is a mode of roughly extensive growth driven by investment; and the TFP which represents the technological progress maintenances a contribution rate of 20% or so to the economic growth of Jiangxi province for a long time. Therefore, in order to raise the contribution rate of TFP, technological progress should be placed on a strategic position of priority in the economic and social development of Jiangxi province.