摘要
基于1980年-2005年江苏省环太湖地区4期土地利用遥感数据,在地学信息图谱理论和GIS技术支持下,构建了4个时序单元的土地利用格局信息图谱、土地利用分类信息图谱和土地利用转移信息图谱。图谱构建结果表明,25年来江苏省环太湖地区土地利用变化既具有明显的时空分异特征,又具有相似的转移图谱。复合应用CLUE-S和Markov模型对江苏省环太湖地区2015年的土地利用进行模拟,弥补原有土地利用信息图谱研究缺乏未来模拟的不足。从模拟结果得知,由于规划指标的控制且随着土地集约利用的深化,江苏省环太湖地区在2015年建设用地增加和耕地减少的幅度将降低。苏锡常都市连绵区仍是江苏省环太湖地区土地利用变化的“热点”区域。
Based on four remote sensing data of land use in the regions surrounding Taihu Lake in Jiangsu Province from 1980 to 2005, the theory of Geo-information Tupu and GIS technology, land use pattern information Tupu, classification information Tupu and transfer information Tupu are constructed in 4 units of the timing sequence. The result from Tupu construction indicates that the land use change has the obvious characteristics of spatial and temporal variation, and that transfer information Tupu of the surrounding regions of Taihu Lake is similar in the past 25 years. The characteristics of spatial and temporal variation are mainly reflected in the adjustment of the internal structure of agriculture from 1980 to 1990. However, it manifests that construction land has occupied a large area of cultivated land after 1990. The similar transfer information Tupu suggests that cultivated land has been converted to various types of land from 1980 to 2005. According to the integrated application of CLUE-S and Markov model, the land use change is simulated to complement the shortcomings of previous study of land use information Tupu which lacks simulation of the future. According to the simulation result, it can be concluded that both the increase rate of construction land and the decrease rate of cultivated land will reduce because of the planning target control and of the enhanced land intensive utilization of the surrounding regions of Taihu Lake in 2015. Big cities such as Suzhou, Wuxi and Changzhou are the typical regions of land use changes around Taihu Lake Regions. In these areas, land use changes are fast in response to the rapid economic growth around Taihu Lake Regions. The rate at which cultivated land is converted to construction land is large in the periphery of cities and towns, along the traffic routes, around the lake areas, and other regions. The research can enrich the research methods of land use information Tupu, summarize the spatial and temporal changes of land use pattern in the surrounding regions of Taihu Lake in Jiangsu Province, and provide a scientific basis for regional land use planning. In order to ensure food security and scientific land use, regional land use regulation and management should promote rational economic growth in the surrounding areas of Taihu Lake Region. It is of great significance to strengthen the protection of cultivated land and restrict the random expansion of construction land.
出处
《资源科学》
CSSCI
CSCD
北大核心
2009年第7期1133-1141,共9页
Resources Science
基金
江苏省国土资源厅重大科技项目:“江苏省环太湖地区国土资源承载力及调控措施研究”