基于证据推理理论的野战装备仓库风险评估研究

Research of Field Equipment Storehouse Risk Evaluation Based on D-S Evidence Theory

D-S证据理论是人工智能中不确定推理方法之一,能有效地处理不确定信息及未知信息。本文针对野战装备仓库风险评估中存在大量不确定信息的特点,建立了基于证据理论的风险评价模型。经实际应用表明,此方法能够对风险水平作出有效的评价,为野战装备仓库防卫指挥员提供决策依据。

The D-S eviconce theory is one of uncertain reasoning means in artificial intelligence, which can deal with uncertain and unknown information availably. Because of the feature that there are large amount of unknown information in field equipment storehouse risk evaluation, this article builts up the risk evaluation model based on evidence theory. This method is proved that it can evaluate the level of the risk effectively, and can offer decision-making gist to the commander of the field equipment storehouse.