广东省循环经济发展的评价与实证研究

Integrative Evaluation and Case Study on the Development Level of Circular Economy in Guangdong

本文以循环经济的基本原则和生态经济学理论为指导,选取反映该地区经济发展实际情况的评价指标,从经济社会发展、资源减量投入、资源循环利用、资源与环境保护4个方面,构建了一套由3个层面、4个分类指标、23个单项指标所构成的区域循环经济评价指标体系,并运用实证研究方法,计算出2005年广东省21个市的循环经济发展水平的综合评价指数并进行排序。在此基础上,利用聚类分析的方法,将经济区域21个市的循环经济发展水平划分为4种类型。采用障碍度分析,对2005年限制区域循环经济发展的因素进行诊断。结果发现,不同市由于自然条件和经济发展状况等因素的不同,循环经济发展水平和主要的限制因素也各不相同,应结合各市自身特征和外部环境等制约因素,制定相应的循环经济发展策略,推动广东省循环经济的持续和全面发展。

A evaluation index system, including three levels, four classified index system and 23 individual indicators. Chosen from four aspects （resource usage reduction, resource recycling and reuse, resource and environment protection, economy and social development） was established on the basis of the meaning and principle of circular economy. Using the case study method, integrative evaluation values in 21 cities of Guangdong province was calculated and ranked to probe local developmental level of circular economy. Moreover, cluster analysis was applied and four circular economy developmental patterns formed among these cities. With the obstacle analysis, the main limiting factors to the development of circular economy in 2005 was found to be different in 21 cities of Guangdong owing to the dissimilarities of natural and environment condition as well as social ＆ economic basis. Consequently, strategies for developing circular economy should be made according to the features of the different cities and external restricting factors to promote sustainable and all-round development of circular economy.