交通事故的灰色预测和关联分析

GREY PREDICTION AND RELATIVITY ANALYSIS OF THE TRAFFIC ACCIDENTS

本文运用灰色系统理论中的灰色预测和关联度分析，根据太原市近几年交通事故的统计情况，对太原市１９９６～１９９８年３年中交通事故数值进行了计算预测；并且对影响太原市交通事故的诸因素与交通事故进行了关联度分析，从而确定出因素间的主次关系，以便于交通部门抓住重点、减少事故．

Grey prediction and relativity analysis in grey system theory are used to predict the traffic accidents in the future three years in Taiyuan city according to the traffic accident census results of Taiyuan in recent years. At the same time, the major factors affacting the traffic accidents of Taiyuan and the traffic accident situation relatively have been analyzed. This way, the importance of each factor could be made clear and the work of the traffic management department could concentrate on some main problems so that the traffic accidents could be reduced.