从冰川发育规律探讨叶尔羌河突发性洪水的可能最大值

From Development of Glaciers to Discuss Maximum Possibility of Flood Outbursts in Yarkand River

叶尔羌河是新疆第三大河流,全长1078公里,山区河段长528公里,平原区550公里。流域包括叶城、泽普、莎车、麦盖提、巴楚、塔什库尔干、岳普湖等七个县,总面积为93,700平方公里,其中山区集水面积为50,248平方公里。全流域共有土地2,500多万亩,农业用地538.33万亩,占总土地面积的63.12%。这里另一优势是光照和热量条件很好,发展农、林、

It is the outbursts of the floods that in Yarkand river often caused seri-ous disasters and made heavy destructions to the local residents in the down-stream area. In this paper the cause of the formation and the source of theoutburst floods were discussed, and the predication of the outbursts of thefloods at its maximum possibility in the future was also made. It was theresult that the outburst floods in Yarkand river would decline in scale, notexceeding that cne with 6270m^3/s on septemper 4th, 1961.