低开高走,异常回暖;乘用车暖,商用车冷——中国汽车市场2009上半年回顾及全年展望

The First Half of 2009 Review and Outlook of the Whole Year of 2009 of Auto Industry

我们欣喜地看到．2009上半年。在国家汽车产业调整振兴规划、部分车型购置税减半、“汽车下乡”、补贴“以旧换新”等一系列政策的刺激下．中国车市逐渐回暖、复苏．整体恢复到2位数增幅，率先呈现疑似牛市的迹象；但笔者认为这2位数的增长未必值得“欢欣鼓舞”。仔细分析就会发现：上半年中国车市的“高”增长总体得益于政策的频繁刺激和拉动．

In the first half of 2009,China auto industry were slightly recovering from heavy depression with an sales increase of 17.69%in total sales comparing to that of last year,among which passenger vehicles enjoyed extremely increase by 25.62%,and commercial vehicles still were declining by 0.52%less than that of last year.All other segments of vehicles more or less had good and bad performance respectively.