基于实证分析的我国外贸依存度经济安全警示意义研究

China foreign trade relying economy safety caution significance research basing on demonstration analysis

文章在归纳关于对外贸易依存度研究的基础上,对当前的研究成果进行了分析,提出汇率,特别是实际汇率是影响我国进出口贸易依存度的一个影响因素。之后对实际汇率与贸易依存度的关系进行了理论分析和实证检验,发现理论分析与实证检验的结果截然相反。在对此结果进行分析后,提出了对外贸易依存度研究的重点及方向。

The author analyzes pre-study on Chinese foreign trade dependence ratio first, and then makes out a point that the real exchange rate of RMB is the im-portant factor influences it s changing.Paper studies the relations between the real exchange rate and foreign trade dependence by theoretical analysis and empirical analysis On the basis of it, But the author finds that there is a opposite phenomena between them.So the author makes a point on the trend of Chinese foreign trade dependence researches.