山西省煤炭资源供需形势及需求预测

Supply-demand and demand forecast of coal of Shanxi province

从山西省煤炭资源生产能力、消费需求水平及供应能力三者发展现状入手,对煤炭供需平衡及保障能力进行了分析。最后基于山西省能源消费现状及构成,并利用灰色模型GM(1,1)及专家群体决策,对晋煤需求总量进行了定量与定性预测,在总结分析保障煤炭资源供需平衡的主要问题基础上,提出了晋煤发展相应的对策和建议。

This paper analyses the balance of supply and demand and the guarantee ability of coal resources in Shanxi from production capacity,level of consumption demand and supply capability.Finally based on the actuality and structure of energy consumption,qualitative and quantitative forecast results of demand of coal of Shanxi by the grey model GM（1,1） and expert group decision,and the summation and analysis of the main problems in the guarantee of balance of supply and demand,countermeasures and suggestions in the development of coal of Shanxi are put forward.