广东省对外贸易与经济增长关系的实证研究

The Empirical Study on Relations of Foreign Trade with Economic Growing to Guangdong Province

以广东省1987～2008年的相关数据,综合运用平稳性检验、协整检验、VAR模型和Granger因果关系检验等计量方法,对广东省对外贸易与经济增长之间的关系进行了实证分析。根据分析得出广东省对外贸易与经济增长之间的定量关系,以期能为政策制定者提供一定的参考依据。

In this paper,Guangdong Province,1987-2005 years of relevant data, the integrated use of stationary tests,co integration test, VAR model and Granger causality test and other measurement methods,the Guangdong Provincial Foreign Trade and Economic Growtb in the relationship between the empirical analysis. Obtains the Guangdong Province foreign trade and the economy between according to the analysis grows the Quota relations, can provide certain reference take the time as the policy maker.