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焦作市需水预测与水资源优化配置研究 被引量:8

Research on Water Demand Forecasting and Optimized Allocation about Water Resources in Jiaozuo City
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摘要 针对焦作市日益紧张的水资源供需矛盾问题,采用指标分析法建立了工业、农业、生活和生态环境的需水预测模型,预测了2030年焦作市的需水量,并建立了多目标优化配置模型,兼顾社会、经济和环境效益,采用大系统分解协调法进行优化配置,在优先满足生活用水的条件下对各区水资源进行分配,预测了2030年保证率50%、75%各区的缺水量。 Aiming at to the problem of the great contradiction between water supply and demand in J iaozuo City, the method of index analysis is applied to establish the water demand prediction model including industrial water demand and agricultural water demand, city life and eco-environmental water demand. The quantity of water demand in 2030 in Jiaozuo City is predicted using the model combining with the expected social development degree in the future. Then, a multi-objective optimization and allocation model using large-scale system decomposition-coordination theory taking into account social, economic and environmental benefits is established. In priority to meet the life water demand, water resources are allocated under the ensuring rate of 50% and 75% . Thus, the quantity of water shortage is calculated .
出处 《水电能源科学》 北大核心 2009年第4期25-28,共4页 Water Resources and Power
基金 教育部科学技术研究基金资助重点项目(104197)
关键词 水资源 需水预测 水资源优化配置模型 指标分析法 大系统分解协调模型 water demand forecasting method of index analysis large-scale system decomposition-coordination model
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