产业赶超发展战略理论演进及其对中国产业发展的启示

Evolution of Industrial Catching-Up Development Strategy and Its Effects for China's Industrial Development

国家实现产业赶超是"二战"后世界发展动态的一个重要经济现象,几乎所有国家都制定了自己的产业赶超发展战略。然而,日本、德国等战败国,韩国、新加坡等国以及中国台湾、香港地区成功地实现了产业赶超发展。而中国大陆、东欧和俄罗斯等大部分转型经济体和印度则通过FDI还未成功地实现产业赶超。如何解释这些国家和地区产业赶超的成功经验和失败教训,国际经济理论界发展了成熟的产业赶超发展战略理论。本文试图对这些产业赶超发展战略理论的演进进行总结归纳,并在此基础上得出若干结论性的启示和反思,以期对处于转型发展中的中国如何调整好产业赶超发展战略有所裨益。

Nation＇s industrial catching-up development is an important economic phenomenon of world dynamic development after the World War Ⅱ. Most countries made their industrial catching-up development strategies, Japan, German, South Korea, Singapore and other Asian NIES have successfully realized their industrial catching-up development. But Indian, China, East Europe, Russian and many other transition countries haven＇t realized their goals. How to explain these counties＇ success and lessons in the process of industrial catching-up, the international economics gives the answers. This paper attempts to summarize the theory evolution process of catching-up development strategy and proposes some conclusive and beneficial enlightenments for China.