基于通用回归分析法的生态足迹动态测度模型

Ecological Footprint Dynamics Measure Model Based on General Regression Analysis

进行生态足迹动态测度是弥补原有生态足迹模型静态性缺陷的一个有效手段。现有的生态足迹动态拟合和预测多采用普通回归分析模型,本文建立的生态足迹动态测度通用回归分析模型克服了普通回归分析模型的局限性,并能提高计算精度和速度。以安徽省为例进行的实证分析结果表明,采用通用回归分析模型拟合和预测生态足迹,计算结果合理,且方法通用,具有一定推广应用价值。

The dynamic measure of ecological footprint can make up the limitation of the static character of the ecological footprint model. At the present time, common regression analysis model was often used to forecast the ecological footprint. The general regression analysis model used in this study can solve the limitation of common regression analysis model, and can also improve the precision and calculation speed. A case study of Anhui Province, the general regression analysis model of ecological footprint dynamics model was built. The applied result of general regression analysis model to forecast the dynamics of ecological footprint shows that the model has reasonable result and widespread applicable scope, so it can be promoted to other application domains.