交通运输与产业结构的灰色系统关联模式的综合分析

Comprehensive Analysis on Transportation and Industrial Structure with the Grey System Association Pattern

国民经济与交通运输密切相关。随着国民经济的持续协调发展,产业结构不断演变与优化,其对交通运输的发展产生怎样的影响,本文采用灰色系统关联模式对四川省客货运输的发展与同期产业结构的变化进行了分析,以期把握随着产业结构的调整及交通运输需求的变化趋势,为合理预测未来的交通运输发展提供参考依据。实证分析结果显示,客货运输与三次产业都有着较强的关联度;国民经济持续稳定增长,无论产业结构如何演变,客货运输需求都将伴随经济的发展而增长。

National economy is closely bound up with traffic transportation. With the consistent and harmonious development of the national economy, the industrial structure is continuously evolving and optimizing. What is the relation between the both of traffic and the industrial structure, this paper has madeastudytoanalyzethepassengerandfreight transportation development and industrial structure change during the same period in Sichuan Province with the grey system association pattern, in order to grasp the change tendency of transportation need of the industrial restructuring, and to provide a reference frame for the rational forecast of the future transportation development. According to the demonstration analysis result, the passenger and freight transportation is closely related to the industry, no matter how the industrial structure varies, the constant and stable development of the national economy will definitely be accompanied with the increasing needs of passenger and freight transportation.