地质灾害防治集对论优态共存准则

Superior Coexistence Criterion of Geological Disaster Control on Set Pair Theory

地质灾害是威胁人民生命与财产安全、影响经济社会可持续发展的重大问题。我国是世界上地质灾害最严重的国家之一,加强地质灾害防治关乎国计民生。地质灾害是自然作用和人类活动影响下地质环境恶化的结果,其孕育与发展受多重因素制约,过程具有诸多不确定性,给灾害预警及防灾减灾带来影响。借助系统工程中处理不确定性的"集对分析"理论,剖析了地质灾害防治中相关因素及其作用与转化,探讨了系统不确定性的分析与处理方法,提出了地质环境开发利用与生态环境保护相互协同的优态共存准则,以助于有效保障人与社会的安全和发展,并为灾害学研究提供有益借鉴。

Geological disaster is an important issue that threatens the safety of people＇s life and property and influences economic and social sustainable development. China is one of disasters seriously and geological disaster control needs to be strengthened the countries that suffer from geological to benefit the national economy and the people＇s livelihood. Geological environment is deteriorated due to the influences of natural processes and human activities. Inoculation and development of geological disasters are restricted by many factors and courses of the disasters are of many uncertainties, therefore the disaster warning and disaster prevention and mitigation are hardened greatly. By means of set pair theory for uncertainty management in system engineering, related factors and their functions and transformations in geological disaster control are analyzed, analysis and treatment of system uncertainty are discussed, and a superior coexistence criterion of mutual coordination between geological environment exploitation and using and ecological environment protection is put forward to effectively ensure people and society securities and development and to provide helpful references for disaster research.