经济周期波动、危机与管控实践及理论再研究——科学管控观与目前中国克服危机的途径及依据

Reinvestigation into the Practices and Theories of Periodic Economic Fluctuations and Crises as Well as Their Management and Control——Scientific Outlook on Economic Management and Control versus China’s Approaches and Foundations of Overcoming Crises

资本经济周期性危机的社会经济根源始终是相对需求不足,虽然引爆具体原因不同。世界经济一体发展的结果使危机的同步性提高,因此高贸易依存度使中国不可能独善。经济周期包括危机、萧条、复苏、高涨四个一般阶段,而危机阶段又包括九个段落,并与金融危机密切相关。认识危机、认识中国自身优劣,才能克服危机。但是,克服危机还需要马克思学派的正确理论指导,需要根据中国实践选择突破口和经济杠杆。

The fundamental socioeconomic detonator of capitalist periodic economic crises is the relative lack of demand despite variations in specific reasons. The integrated development of global economy exacerbated the synchronized occurrence of crisis, as a result of which China can not stay away from this crisis due to its high degree of trade dependence. The economic circle undergoes four stages of crisis, recession, recovery and prosperity, whereas the stage of crisis also includes nine sub-stages, which is closely connected with financial crisis. An understanding of the nature of crisis and China＇s own advantages is helpful to overcome it. But, overcoming the crisis, we need to follow the correct theoretical guidance of Marxism and select a breakthrough point and suitable economic leverage to deal with it according to the real situations of China.