基于系统动力学的防空装备战时维修保障系统仿真

Research on Simulation of Aerial Defense Equipment Maintenance Support System in War Based on System Dynamics

装备战时维修保障问题是当前的热点问题,为解决现有仿真模型多为局部单类装备的描述,没有从体系对抗的角度进行分析和研究的问题,通过对战时防空装备维修保障系统的分析,构建了系统因果关系图和系统流图;运用系统动力学仿真软件对抗仿真分析,重点分析对方抢修飞机成功率、防空导弹装备战损报废比例、防空导弹装备拦截能力及维修成功率等指标,模拟了系统行为。建立了一种基于系统动力学的防空装备战时维修保障系统仿真模型,并用该模型对系统中几个关键量进行了定量分析。仿真分析表明该模型具有一定的实用性,能为提高系统保障效能设计提供依据。

Through the analysis of the aerial defense equipment maintenance support system in war, the causality and flow figures of system are established, and the confrontation simulation is analyzed by using the software of system dynamics Considering the targets such as the success percent of enemy airplane repair, the percentage of discarding the damaged aerial defense equipment, the intercept ability of the aerial defense equipment and the percentage of successful maintenance, the system action is simulated and the results shows that the model has some practicability, and can provide a basis for improving the system support efficiency.