新兴技术产业化潜力成长性的动态评价研究

Studies on Emerging Technology Industrialization Potential Growth Dynamic Evaluation

利用系统动力学对新兴技术的产业化潜力成长性进行了研究。建立了新兴技术产业化潜力成长性的系统动力学模型,确定了相关的参数和模型初值,并应用所建的模型对燃料电池的产业化潜力成长性进行了动态评价。模拟分析了新兴技术产业化潜力成长性的基本结构、动态行为模式及其动力学性质;分析了新兴技术产业化潜力成长性与影响因素的动态关系,揭示了新兴技术产业化潜力成长性的影响因素变化对其产业化潜力成长性的影响程度。

In this paper, the emerging technology industrialization potential growth was studied by system dynamics. The system dynamics model of emerging technology industrialization potential growth was set up, and the relevant model parameters and initial value was identified, based on the model the industrialization potential growth of fuel cell was evaluated.